Category: Cognitive Biases

Illusion of control

“Perhaps the strangest thing about this illusion of control is not that it happens but that it seems to confer many of the psychological benefits...

End of history illusion

End of history illusion

  History is that certainty produced at the point where the imperfections of memory meet the inadequacies of documentation. Julian Barnes, The Sense of an...

Law of small numbers

The Law of small numbers

  Amos and I called our first joint article “Belief in the Law of Small Numbers.” We explained, tongue-in-cheek, that “intuitions about random sampling appear...